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Leverage Cycle

The leverage cycle refers to the cyclical pattern of rising and falling leverage in financial markets. During periods of economic expansion, borrowers and investors tend to increase leverage, borrowing more to finance investments, leading to higher asset prices and economic growth. However, as leverage reaches unsustainable levels, the cycle reverses, with asset prices declining, credit tightening, and deleveraging occurring. The leverage cycle can lead to boom-bust scenarios, as seen in the 2007–2008 financial crisis.

Example

Before the 2008 financial crisis, excessive leverage in the housing market led to a boom in property prices, followed by a sharp downturn as borrowers were forced to deleverage.

Key points

Refers to the cyclical pattern of rising and falling leverage in financial markets.

High leverage during economic booms can lead to asset bubbles, followed by deleveraging and market downturns.

The leverage cycle can contribute to financial instability and economic crises.

Quick Answers to Curious Questions

The cycle reverses when asset prices fall, credit conditions tighten, and borrowers are forced to deleverage, leading to market downturns.

Excessive borrowing can inflate asset prices beyond sustainable levels, creating bubbles that burst when leverage becomes unsustainable.

Excessive leverage in the housing market fueled the real estate bubble, and when it burst, widespread deleveraging led to a global financial crisis.
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