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Greater Fool Theory

The Greater Fool Theory suggests that investors can profit from buying overvalued assets by selling them to someone else (the “greater fool”) at a higher price, regardless of the asset’s intrinsic value. This theory often drives speculative bubbles, where asset prices rise far above their fundamental value due to the belief that someone else will pay even more. The theory underscores the risk of buying based on market sentiment rather than sound investment analysis.

Example

During the dot-com bubble, many investors bought tech stocks at inflated prices, believing they could sell them to others for a profit, illustrating the Greater Fool Theory in action.

Key points

Suggests investors profit by selling overvalued assets to others willing to pay more.

Often drives speculative bubbles, leading to inflated prices detached from fundamentals.

Highlights the risk of investing based on market hype rather than intrinsic value.

Quick Answers to Curious Questions

Speculative behavior, herd mentality, and the belief that prices will continue to rise, attracting investors who disregard fundamental valuations.

The theory fuels bubbles as prices rise unsustainably due to speculative buying, eventually collapsing when the supply of “greater fools” runs out.

Investors face the risk of significant losses when market sentiment shifts, and prices fall back to levels reflecting true value.
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